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Shehbaz Sharif elected prime minister for 2nd time, vows to steer Pakistan ‘back to shore’ in victory speech

After being elected as the 24th premier of Pakistan on Sunday, PM-elect Shehbaz Sharif vowed to steer the country “back to shore” with the help of allied parties in his second tenure in the top office.

Shehbaz won the prime minister’s election today after clinching 201 votes against his PTI-backed opponent from the Sunni Ittehdad Council (SIC) Omar Ayub Khan, who managed to secure 92 votes.

Following the announcement by National Assembly Speaker Sardar Ayaz Sadiq, Shehbaz hugged his elder brother and PML-N supremo Nawaz Sharif, who was widely expected to become the prime minister following the Feb 8 elections but stepped aside for reasons unknown in favour of his sibling.

In his first speech on the floor of the newly elected house as the PM-elect, Shehbaz said that big challenges lay ahead in Pakistan’s path but they could be overcome “if we come together and decide to change the country’s fate” by taking it to its rightful position.

As he thanked his brother and allied parties for posing their trust in him by electing him as the leader of the house again, PTI-backed lawmakers from the SIC chanted slogans from the opposition benches, calling the siblings “thieves” — possibly a reference to their claim that the PML-N stole the mandate given to them by the public.

“There are talented people sitting in this Parliament who can steer Pakistan’s ship to the shore […] including journalists, intellectuals, politicians, religious leaders,” Shehbaz added.

He asserted that PML-N and coalition parties would play their role as “Pakistanis, Muslims, and human beings” to steer the country out of the crisis it currently faces even though the “job is difficult but not impossible”.

“When my leader (Nawaz) was elected the prime minister thrice, the development that ensued in the country is an example of its own. And it is not wrong to say that Nawaz Sharif is the one who built Pakistan,” Shehbaz said.

The PM-elect also paid tribute to close ally PPP’s founding leader Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto, who was hanged to death in the past, saying the nation would always “remember his sacrifices”.

‘PML-N never harmed country unlike opponents’

Shehbaz said his party could never even think of bringing any harm to the country, unlike his opponents.

“They put the entire opposition behind bars, they didn’t care about women or children and used language that cannot be uttered out loud,” he said on the floor of the National Assembly.

“This is the difference between this leadership and that leadership […] the entire assembly is witness to the fact that we never thought of the politics of revenge.

“Neither a pot was broken, nor any building was ever damaged […] but it shameful that the country saw a day when GHQ, corps commander houses, airfields were attacked on May 9,” Shehbaz said, adding that such events were unforgettable.

Alarming debt crisis

The PM-elect lamented the alarming debt crisis faced by the country, saying that even the National Assembly’s expenditures were being paid through borrowed money.

“But if we decide to do a deep surgery and bring changes in the system, basic reform […] I have no doubt that Muhammad Nawaz Sharif, Asif Ali Zardari, and others will agree that we can either get rid of a ‘life of debt’ or we move forward with heads down in shame.

“No, this will not happen, we will rise and we will make Pakistan self-sufficient,” he asserted.

Promises end to electricity and tax theft

Shehbaz promised to end to electricity and tax theft during his second tenure, saying that he was aware of the burden of inflation being faced by the public, especially the lower class.

“Electricity and tax thefts are a matter of life and death for Pakistan […] and I want to say that God willing we will remove this cancer from its roots and make the country stand on its feet.

“It is difficult […] it is a long and thorny journey full of hurdles, but countries that surmounted these challenges became one of the most [advanced] nations around the world,” Shehbaz said, adding that he would oversee the end of tax theft and bring a technological model which would remove any human error.

“This will decrease inflation, increase employment, and the country will grow,” he said.

‘Will provide specialised training for 500,000 students’

PM-elect Shehbaz said his government will provide specialised training to 500,000 young students.

“These young students will not take jobs, but they will give jobs,” the newly elected prime minister said, elaborating that the training will include the use of technology and artificial intelligence.

Packages, subsidies for farmers

Shehbaz promised that his government would provide subsidies directly to farmers and that a package on solar tube-wells would also be announced soon.

“The seed mafia will be eliminated and we will import seeds from the best countries in the world and provide them to farmers,” he said, adding that the first batch of these seeds would be provided free of cost.

Shehbaz also said that the Centre would work with all four provinces in the sectors of agriculture.

He also promised to bring investment into the country and create an economic environment that would spur growth, and vowed to spread a web of “one window” export zones in all four provinces and work day and night to fulfill all these promises.

‘To widen web of public transport’

Shehbaz said he would spread a vast web of efficient public transport across the country.

Continuing his victory speech in the National Assembly, he promised state-of-the-art hospitals and medical facilities.

“I want to make an announcement here today […] we will provide all the talented students with an opportunity to study abroad so that they can make Pakistan proud across the world,” he said.

Shehbaz also said his government would work on building a system through which swift justice will be provided.

He also announced that women and children behind bars, whose sentences were less than two years, would be freed.

‘No forgiveness for May 9 perpetrators’

However, the PM-elect said the perpetrators of the May 9 riots will not be forgiven, vowing action against all those who were involved in the attack on state installations.

At the same time, he also said that justice would be dispensed to all those who were not involved in the riots.

Shehbaz promised that his government would put an end to terrorism and its roots once and for all. He said his aim was to take the National Action Plan forward.

Lauds female cop for saving woman’s life from mob

The PM-elect also lauded the female Lahore police officer ASP Shehr Bano Naqvi for protecting the life of a woman clad in an Arabic print shirt from a mob attack last week.

Shehbaz said harassment of women anywhere was unacceptable, adding that they would be provided with equal job opportunities and remuneration during his tenure.

Free visas for brotherly nations

Shehbaz announced that citizens of Pakistan’s brotherly countries would be provided visa-free entry into Pakistan, saying that it would increase trade between the countries.

He added that his government would set a goal for Pakistan to become a member of G20 countries by 2030.

Calls out global silence on Gaza

The PM-elect called out the international community for its silence and inaction on the situation in Gaza and held Kashmir.

“Let’s all come together […] and the National Assembly should pass a resolution for the freedom of Kashmiris and Palestinians,” he stressed.

Towards the end of his victory speech, Shehbaz said the nation only awaited the results of “our hard work” and not the election results.

“The country wants justice,” the PM-elect concluded as part of his closing remarks of his maiden speech as prime minister for the second time.



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Barrister Gohar elected PTI chairman ‘unopposed’ for second time after fresh intra-party polls

Barrister Gohar Khan was declared the PTI chairman again following fresh intra-party polls, according to results shared by the party’s spokesperson and Chief Election Commissioner Raoof Hasan on Sunday.

Gohar won the chairman’s election unopposed, Hasan revealed during a press conference.

This is the third time PTI has conducted intraparty elections in the past two years, following its Dec 2 elections which resulted in its electoral ‘bat’ symbol ultimately being revoked by the Supreme Court following back and forth verdicts by the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) and Peshawar High Court (PHC). Gohar was elected the PTI chairman for the first time in Dec 2 election.

Prior to that, the PTI held elections in June 2022, which the ECP had annulled on Nov 23, terming them “highly objectionable”.

Following the decision to schedule the new intra-party polls on March 3, incarcerated PTI leader Imran Khan had nominated Barrister Ali Zafar for the position of chairman.

Days later, party sources told Dawn that Zafar refused to accept the chairmanship, following which Imran nominated Barrister Gohar again for the party’s top post.

At today’s press conference, Hasan announced that Gohar won the chairman’s position unopposed since there were no other candidates.

He noted that initially there were four applications for the position from Ashraf Jabbar, Omar Ayub, Naveed Anjum Khan and Barrister Gohar. Three applications were accepted, while that of Naveed was rejected.

Naveed’s application was rejected because he contested the Feb 8 general elections against a PTI-supported candidate, after which his party membership was cancelled on Feb 11, Raoof said.

He noted that a second reason for the rejection was that despite Naveed applying for party membership again on Feb 24, a pre-condition to contesting intraparty elections is to have been an uninterrupted member for at least 6 months.

Following that, Jabbar and Ayub “graciously withdrew their applications for the sake of party unity and harmony”.

“Because of this, there were no candidates against Gohar, so we declared him the uncontested winner. He has been elected party chairman unopposed,” Hasan said.

Meanwhile, Omar Ayub was elected PTI’s secretary general, also unopposed, since there were no other nominations for the position, Hasan said.

Gohar and Ayub on Friday had been notified of their positions since they were the only candidates for the position.

Hasan said that cumulative results for elections held for the the party’s provincial presidents will be announced shortly.

He stressed that the new intra-party elections were held in accordance with guidelines set out by the ECP, noting that the party’s previous two elections “ran into some trouble” with the electoral watchdog.



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Australia take charge after Green’s rearguard action

WELLINGTON: Australia dismissed New Zealand for 179 to take control of the first Test on Friday’s second day after Cameron Green had scored a brilliant 174 not out in a defiant final-wicket partnership to drive the tourists to 383 all out.

The Black Caps lost wickets in clumps as they reeled in the face of Australia’s attack with Glenn Phillips’s aggressive 71 serving only to save the home side from deeper embarrassment in front of a sell-out crowd at the Basin Reserve in Wellington.

Australia chose not to enforce the follow-on but the wickets kept falling with skipper Tim Southee dismissing Steve Smith and Marnus Labuschagne cheaply as the shadows across the ground lengthened.

Nightwatchman Nathan Lyon was dropped by Southee in the slips off the last ball of the day and will resume on six not out alongside Usman Khawaja, who was unbeaten on five. Australia are on 13 for two, leading by 217 runs.

New Zealand, looking for only a second win over their neighbours in 24 Tests this century, had started the day hoping to quickly remove the final Australian wicket but Green and Josh Hazlewood refused to yield for two hours.

All-rounder Green, who had reached the century mark for the second time in Tests on the penultimate ball of day one, continued to play his shots, smashing 23 fours and five sixes in a marathon 275-ball innings.

Hazlewood contributed 22 off 62 balls at the other end as the pair combined for 116 runs before seamer Matt Henry finally winkled out the Aust­ralian paceman to claim his second test five-wicket haul (5-70).

“Obviously Greeny did the bulk of the work but it was good to be at the other end watching that sort of innings,” said Hazlewood.

“For his career, it can be huge, I think, his second hundred for Australia on that sort of wicket against that sort of attack. Outstanding.”

Australia’s final tally was bolstered by 41 extras, which inclu­ded 20 wides, but New Zealand’s profligacy was not to be limited to their fielding and they were quickly reduced to 12-3.

Tom Latham played on to depart for five and two balls later Kane Williamson ran himself out for a duck after bumping into his batting partner Will Young while Labuschagne was wrecking the stumps with a direct hit.

Three balls later and Rachin Ravindra was also sent back with zero runs to his name after a fine Nathan Lyon catch off the bowling of Hazlewood.

Australia skipper Pat Cumm­ins triggered the next collapse when he had Daryl Mitchell caught behind with the final ball of one over and Mitchell Marsh ended Young’s innings with the first ball of the next to leave the hosts on 29-5.

Phillips and Tom Blundell steadied the sinking ship with a partnership of 84 but Lyon (4-43) brought an end to that when he had the latter caught for 33 off an inside edge.

Two balls later, Scott Kugge­leijn became the off spinner’s second victim and the home side were again on the ropes at 113-7.

Hazlewood finally found the way to evict Phillips with a short delivery the batsman top-edged to Starc in the deep and when Lyon stopped Henry’s pugnacious innings on 42, the end was not long coming.

“Cam Green and Hazlewood did really well and that’s obviously not exactly ideal for us,” said Phillips.

“The pitch is still doing a little bit and that new ball definitely brings us into the game quite a lot.”

The second and final Test in Christchurch begins on March 8.

SCOREBOARD

AUSTRALIA (1st Innings, overnight 279-9):

S. Smith c Blundell b Henry 31

U. Khawaja b Henry 33

M. Labuschagne c Mitchell b Kuggeleijn 1

C. Green not out 174

T. Head c Blundell b O’Rourke 1

M. Marsh c Blundell b Henry 40

A. Carey c Williamson b Kuggeleijn 10

M. Starc c Latham b O’Rourke 9

P. Cummins lbw b Ravindra 16

N. Lyon c Blundell b Henry 5

J. Hazlewood c Ravindra b Henry 22

EXTRAS (B-12, LB-6, NB-3, W-20) 41

TOTAL (all out, 115.1 overs) 383

FALL OF WICKETS: 1-61 (Smith), 2-65 (Labuschagne), 3-88 (Khawaja), 4-89 (Head), 5-156 (Marsh), 6-176 (Carey), 7-211 (Starc), 8-244 (Cummins), 9-267 (Lyon)

BOWLING: Southee 27-4-92-0 (2nb), Henry 30.1-11-70-5 (2w), O’Rourke 27-10-87-2 (3w), Kuggeleijn 20-1-75-2 (1nb, 3w), Mitchell 4-0-17-0, Ravindra 7-1-24-1

NEW ZEALAND (1st Innings):

T. Latham b Starc 5

W. Young c Carey b Marsh 9

K. Williamson run out 0

R. Ravindra c Lyon b Hazlewood 0

D. Mitchell c Carey b Cummins 11

T. Blundell c Head b Lyon 33

G. Phillips c Starc b Hazlewood 71

S. Kuggeleijn c Green b Lyon 0

M. Henry c Labuschagne b Lyon 42

T. Southee c Head b Lyon 1

W. O’Rourke not out 0

EXTRAS (B-1, LB-3, NB-2, W-1) 7

TOTAL (all out, 43.1 overs) 179

FALL OF WICKETS: 1-12 (Latham), 2-12 (Williamson), 3-12 (Ravindra), 4-29 (Mitchell), 5-29 (Young), 6-113 (Blundell), 7-113 (Kuggeleijn), 8-161 (Phillips), 9-162 (Southee)

BOWLING: Starc 9-4-34-1 (1w), Hazlewood 12-0-55-2, Cummins 10-2-33-1, Marsh 4-0-10-1 (2nb), Lyon 8.1-1-43-4

AUSTRALIA (2nd Innings):

S. Smith b Southee 0

U. Khawaja not out 5

M. Labuschagne c Blundell b Southee 2

N. Lyon not out 6

EXTRAS 0

TOTAL (for two wickets, eight overs) 13

FALL OF WICKETS: 1-0 (Smith), 2-4 (Labuschagne)

STILL TO BAT: C. Green, T. Head, M. Marsh, A. Carey, M. Starc, P. Cummins, J. Hazlewood

BOWLING: Southee 4-2-5-2, Henry 4-1-8-0

Published in Dawn, March 2nd, 2024



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PTI’s Ali Amin Gandapur elected KP chief minister, demands justice for Imran and party

Amid intense sloganeering, the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly on Friday elected PTI’s Ali Amin Gandapur as the 22nd chief minister of the province.

The PTI leader clinched an overwhelming victory with 90 votes against rival Ibadullah Khan from the PML-N.

Gandapur, who had served as a federal minister during the PTI government, was nominated for the coveted slot by imprisoned party founder Imran Khan last month. He contested polls on a National Assembly seat (NA-44) and a provincial seat (PK-113) in Dera Ismail Khan. In KP, PTI-backed candidates in a comfortable majority to form the provincial government.

The PTI leader was also among the party leaders who were sent to jail in the aftermath of the May 9 riots.

Today, the KP Assembly convened to vote for the coveted slot of the provincial chief executive and saw Gandapur securing a comfortable victory. The session began a little later than scheduled.

Otherwise calm, pro-Imran Khan slogans continued to echo in the house throughout the session, which was boycotted by the JUI-F.

In his victory speech after the CM elections today, Gandapur asserted that he had become the chief minister in an “independent capacity” and lamented how his party was not even given a “playing field let alone a level playing field” in the February 8 general elections.

“We do not want to carry out politics of revenge,” he said. But at the same time, the PTI leader also asserted that “we know how to snatch our rights”.

Gandapur said he was ready for a probe into the allegations of rigging in the general elections. “Come here and conduct an investigation on the basis of Forms-45,” he stated.

“You can open [investigate] whichever constituency you want,” he said. “I am putting the entire province before you […] we hope that every democratic politician would say that the mandate should be returned because stealing a mandate is akin to betraying the public and violating the Constitution,” Gandapur said in the fiery speech.

He also demanded the immediate resignation of the chief election commissioner, claiming that the Election Commission of Pakistan had failed to fulfill its responsibility. Gandapur also urged the Supreme Court to set up a judicial commission to probe the allegations of rigging.

The PTI leader further stated that Imran Khan was languishing in jail today only because he “exposed a foreign conspiracy before the public”. “Today, the entire nation knows who is elected and who is selected,” Gandapur said.

Talking about the May 9 riots, he said around nine first information reports were registered against him on the day. “If you find any evidence against me, come and arrest me,” the PTI leader said.

He demanded that a “judicial inquiry” should be held into the May 9 events and look into the “real beneficiaries” of the saga. Gandapur also stated that all the PTI leaders falsely implicated should be released within a week and warned that otherwise action would be taken.

Gandapur also promised to end terrorism in KP and said that the government would ensure every person in the province would be able to sleep in peace.

Talking about the economic situation of KP, he said that he would focus on increasing the revenue of the province and reducing the burdens on the poor segments.

“We will give property, right to inheritance, free legal assistance to women,” he promised, adding that the government would also invest in trade and business development to create employment.

Gandapur also announced that health card in the province would be restored from the first day of Ramazan.



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Putin critic Alexei Navalny to be buried in Moscow amid uncertainty, mourners brave potential arrest

Russian opposition politician Alexei Navalny will be buried in Moscow on Friday amid tight security and fears of a police crackdown two weeks after he suddenly died at the age of 47 in an Arctic penal colony.

Navalny’s allies — who have promised to livestream the day’s events online — have accused President Vladimir Putin of having him murdered because the Russian leader could allegedly not tolerate the thought of Navalny being freed in a potential prisoner swap.

They have not published proof to back up that accusation, but have promised to set out how he was murdered and by whom.

The Kremlin has denied state involvement in his death and has said it is unaware of any agreement to free Navalny. His death certificate — according to allies — said he died of natural causes.

A religious service for Navalny is due to be held at 2pm local time in the Church of the Icon of the Mother of God in the Moscow district of Maryino where Navalny used to live.

He is then scheduled to be buried at the Borisovskoye cemetery, around 2.5 kilometres away on the other side of the Moskva River two hours later.

Navalny’s allies, who are outside Russia and have been designated as US-backed extremists by the authorities, have called on people who want to honour his memory but cannot attend his funeral service to instead go to certain landmarks in their own towns on Friday evening at 7pm local time.

The Kremlin has dismissed statements by his allies as provocative and warned that the police will uphold the law.

Judging from previous gatherings of Navalny supporters, a heavy police presence is likely and the authorities will break up anything they deem to resemble a political demonstration under protest laws.

There was heavy security at the church on Friday morning which was surrounded by metal crash barriers with dozens of police vehicles parked nearby.

Navalny’s wife Yulia, with whom he had two children, has said she is unsure whether the funeral itself will pass off peacefully or whether police will arrest attendees. She is outside Russia.

Navalny’s mother Lyudmila, 69, is expected to attend his funeral. It is unclear who else will be allowed into the church for the service.

Rights group have advised those who want to attend to take their passports and small bottles of water with them and told them to write down the details of lawyers who can help them in case they are detained and the mobile signal in the area is cut.

Navalny was a Christian who condemned Putin’s decision to send tens of thousands of troops into Ukraine as a crazy enterprise built on lies. But the church that will host his funeral has donated to the Russian army and enthusiastically advertised its backing for the war.

In the run-up to his funeral, his allies accused the authorities of blocking their plans to hold a bigger civil memorial service and said unknown individuals had even managed to thwart their attempts to hire a hearse to transport him to his own funeral.

On Friday, they said they saw no problems for now with the route they had planned for attendees and again encouraged people who wanted to say farewell to Navalny to come along.

The Kremlin has said it has nothing to do with Navalny’s funeral arrangements.

Navalny, a former lawyer, mounted the most determined political challenge against Putin since the Russian leader came to power at the end of 1999, organising street protests and publishing high-profile investigations into the alleged corruption of some in the ruling elite.

But a series of criminal charges for fraud and extremism — which Navalny said were politically-motivated — saw him handed jail sentences of over 30 years and most of his supporters have either fled the country or are in jail.

Navalny decided to return to Russia from Germany in 2021 after being treated for what Western doctors said was poisoning with a nerve agent only to be immediately taken into custody.

Putin, who controls all the levers of state and is expected to be comfortably re-elected for another six-year term in two weeks, has yet to comment on Navalny’s death and has for years avoided mentioning him by name.

Though Navalny is well known in the West, state TV inside Russia did not mention him for years either and when it did it was brief and in a negative light.



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Met dept predicts rain, thunderstorm and ‘few heavy falls’ in Karachi, other parts of Sindh today

As Sindh braced for rough weather, the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) on Friday said “rain/thunderstorm with few heavy falls” were likely in Karachi and various parts of the province today.

On Thursday, Sindh Chief Minister Murad Ali Shah had imposed a rain emergency in the province and declared Friday to be a half-day for all government and private offices in Karachi.

The decision was taken in the light of the Sindh Pakistan Disaster Management Authority’s (PDMA) warning the previous day of a potential urban flooding situation.

According to the latest advisory issued by the Met Department today, “rain/thunderstorms with few heavy falls” are expected in northern parts of the province from Feb 29 till March 2. Similar weather conditions are likely to prevail in the rest of the province from March 1.

“Heavy falls may generate urban flooding in low-lying areas. Fishermen of Balochistan are advised not to venture into deep sea till March 1 while those of Sindh are advised to remain careful during the forecast period,” it said.

According to the PMD, a “westerly wave is prevailing over Balochistan and adjoining Sindh”.

According to the PMD’s weather forecast, under the wave’s influence, “rain/thunderstorm with few heavy falls [were] likely in Kambar Shahdadkot, Jacobabad, Larkana, Shikarpur, Kashmore, Ghotki, Sukkur and Dadu till tomorrow morning”.

It made the same prediction for Jamshoro, Thatta, Sujawal, Tharparker, Badin, Umerkot, Mirpurkhas, Hyderabad, Tando Allahyar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Naushahro Feroze, Shaheed Benazirabad, Sanghar districts and Karachi division but only for today, adding that “mainly dry weather is expected in most districts of the province” tomorrow.

Meanwhile, in its rainfall report, the PMD stated that Jacobabad received 12mm of rainfall in the last 24 hours while Larkana received 3mm and Mohenjo Daro only got traces.

Sindh CM monitors dewatering arrangements during surprise visits

Sindh Chief Minister Syed Murad Ali Shah made surprise visits to check dewater machinery in the low-lying areas and to check the attendance of officers at the New Secretariat.

CM Shah visited low-lying areas in District South, including underpasses, Khaliquz Zaman Road, Aiwan-e-Saddar Road, the road between Sindh Secretariat and High Court, II Chundrigar Road, and other areas.

During his visit, he noticed that in some areas, the machinery of the water board and other suction machines was not installed. As a result, he directed Karachi Commissioner Saleem Rajput to ensure that the machinery was deployed and to report back to him.

Karachi Mayor Murtaza Wahab said that 53 suction vehicles have been moved to “various locations for clearing rainwater as and when required”.

In a post on X, Wahab said, “Apart from traffic police, wardens have also been placed on major arteries to help ease the flow of traffic.”

Commissioner Rajput said the administration and the relevant departments were “fully prepared” to prevent damages from the rain, as per CM Shah’s instructions.

In a statement, he urged the public to avoid heading out of their homes unnecessarily and advised them to stay away from electricity wires and poles.

The commissioner further advised citizens to have plenty of fuel in their vehicles and not to park them near power poles. He also urged motorcycle drivers to wear helmets.

Central District Senior Superintendent of Police (SSP) Zeeshan Shafiq Siddiqui ordered the police to remain alert in case of any emergency during the rains.

In a statement, SSP Siddiqui said, “Divisional superintendents of police and station house officers should remain in their areas.” He also ordered all officers to oblige the constables to remain stationed at their designated points and help the citizens in need.

The SSP issued directives for the evacuation of families stuck in the rain to safe locations and to also help the traffic police in ensuring a smooth traffic flow. The officer further ordered that additional policemen be deployed at important locations.



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FM 101: Pakistan’s next finance minister needs a vision, not just experience

My grandfather used to have a yellowed old sign hanging above his office desk that read:

Weak minds talk about people;

Average minds talk about events;

Great minds talk about ideas …

As Islamabad buzzes again with the talk of who the next finance minister will be, my thoughts keep returning to that sign. Rumour has it that Ishaq Dar is the front runner, that Dr Shamshad Akhtar remains in the running, and that various bankers and second-string politicians are dark horses.

A candidate’s closeness to a party leader gets talked up. Another is said to have the trust of Q block. A third is apparently close to the so-called establishment. Bankers’ credentials and job titles are exaggerated.

At best, three questions are posed: Will the candidate be able to work with the International Monetary Fund (IMF)? Will they be deemed acceptable by foreign powers? And will they acknowledge the future role of the military-dominated Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC)?

We know the candidates, not their ideas

In all this chatter about people, there is no discussion about their ideas. We specifically fail to inquire: what distinct policy strategies do these people propose to fix the mess we’re in?

Since answers aren’t forthcoming, let’s ask a different question: what would an ideal Pakistani finance minister do?

As always, our next finance minister will realise that we owe more money than we have. It’s the same problem our last minister and the ones before him faced. So, our minister will have to enter into negotiations with the IMF and beseech countries on friendly terms with Pakistan for more loans and rollovers.

There is little agency in the matter; the only difference between the candidates is that some may do it quietly and promptly, while others would do it loudly and drag their feet; some might receive a warm hug at foreign airports, and others a handshake and a nod before getting down to business. They would all have to make more or less the same requests and would receive similar deals because they’d all represent exactly the same problems back home.

IMF’s blueprint for Pakistan

Bilateral negotiations are hidden from public view, yet the IMF’s demands have been openly documented for decades. In short, the Fund wants us to spend less and tax more (preferably from non-filers) to create space to pay our debt; to maintain a market-determined exchange rate so we don’t import more than we export; to keep interest rates higher than inflation, so we don’t prioritise consumption over investments; and to begin addressing long-standing issues such as our energy and State-Owned Enterprise (SOE) losses.

This is an eminently rational agenda. If anything, it falls short in its recommendations — particularly overlooking key determinants of long-term productivity such as education, trade competitiveness, and governance — areas where a finance minister should at least play a role in planning.

It is in following the Fund’s advice that we might think our ministerial candidates will start diverging. Our candidates clearly differ in their willingness to pursue even this minimal agenda. Some want the funds but openly resist even fundamental reforms. Others acknowledge the validity of the prescription, at least in private if not in public. But in reality, how differently would they act?

About time we embrace change

When change finally comes — when we start going after non-filers and power thieves, withdraw uneven tax exemptions and subsidies, shutter loss-making public companies, and reduce loans from banks and anyone else who’ll lend to us — that change will not be ordered from a finance minister’s desk. It will be announced by a prime minister who risks their political capital for the country, and with the support of the country’s institutions.

From voices in the finance ministry to the political, business, media and military elite, there is a resistance to change and experimentation that has proven remarkably unwavering even as the country has suffered an acute and sustained economic crisis.

“This is no time to experiment,” I have heard every year through 20 years of sustained decline. We need a steady hand. Experience. Whatever we do, we have to keep the dollar and policy rates as low as we can. Pakistan cannot be run like other countries we are told, or — as it appears — by logic.

And so we stick with the same people making the same decisions that we have ample evidence have failed us previously. It continues to elude us, for example, that short-term efforts to keep the dollar cheap are a major reason the dollar has become so expensive in the long run.

It has been more than a decade since the idea of a Charter of Economy was first floated; six years since a new government went to the IMF in crisis; two years since another government went to the IMF again; and eight months since the last loan helped Pakistan narrowly avert default, yet again.

We have, in this time, resolved to try nothing new.

It really isn’t that complicated

A good finance minister candidate would be able to articulate by now what has gone wrong; would have public views about which redundant ministries or SOEs we need to shutter first and which untaxed sectors we need to raise revenues from this year. They would also have ideas about the seismic shifts in our industrial, banking, and corporate terrain that must come with reform.

The right person would present a five-year roadmap, be honest with us about the pain that inevitably looms, but reassure us by showing us how Pakistan can do things better from now on.

Instead, the conversation has reduced to whether the minister will tighten the budget this year, hike interest rates this quarter, raise energy bills this summer, and suppress the dollar for now. And so, some of our candidates are polishing personal brands and inviting us to join their cults. Trust him, not her, and vice versa. The conversation ends there.

Until the talk about finance and the economy shifts from people to ideas, we are unlikely to see better days.


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